Colorado Rockies vsWashington Nationals Prediction
The Colorado Rockies are 6-13 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 7-17 at home. The Rockies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rockies' starter Austin Gomber is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Aaron Sanchez. Austin Gomber has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Aaron Sanchez has a 28% chance of a QS. If Austin Gomber has a quality start the Rockies has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 64%. In Aaron Sanchez quality starts the Nationals win 70%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Josh Bell who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is C.J. Cron who averaged 3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 70% chance of winning.