Atlanta Braves vs

Washington Nationals Prediction

The Atlanta Braves are 41-30 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 24-49 at home. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Paolo Espino has a 32% chance of a QS and Kyle Muller a 34% chance. If Paolo Espino has a quality start the Nationals has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 48%. If Kyle Muller has a quality start the Braves has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Yadiel Hernandez who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Austin Riley who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 72% chance of winning.