New York Yankees vsToronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-11 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 12-17 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays' starter Hyun-jin Ryu is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees' starter Jordan Montgomery. Hyun-jin Ryu has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jordan Montgomery has a 28% chance of a QS. If Hyun-jin Ryu has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 63%. In Jordan Montgomery quality starts the Yankees win 71%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Bo Bichette who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Luke Voit who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 56% chance of winning.