Cleveland Guardians vsToronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays are 34-21 at home this season and the Cleveland Guardians are 30-30 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians' starter Shane Bieber is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays' starter Jose Berrios. Shane Bieber has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Berrios has a 35% chance of a QS. If Shane Bieber has a quality start the Guardians has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 54%. In Jose Berrios quality starts the Blue Jays win 76%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 76% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Alejandro Kirk who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 63% chance of winning.