Los Angeles Angels vs

Texas Rangers Prediction

The Texas Rangers are 30-41 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 30-41 on the road this season. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rangers' starter Martin Perez is forecasted to have a better game than Angels' starter Mike Lorenzen. Martin Perez has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Lorenzen has a 40% chance of a QS. If Martin Perez has a quality start the Rangers has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 68%. In Mike Lorenzen quality starts the Angels win 58%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Nate Lowe who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 49% chance of winning.