Houston Astros vsTexas Rangers Prediction
The Houston Astros are 40-33 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 32-39 at home. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros' starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers' starter Glenn Otto. Framber Valdez has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Glenn Otto has a 38% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 67%. In Glenn Otto quality starts the Rangers win 59%. He has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Willie Calhoun who averaged 1.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 77% chance of winning.