Toronto Blue Jays vs

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays are 10-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 7-10 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays' starter Ryan Yarbrough is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays' starter Hyun-jin Ryu. Ryan Yarbrough has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hyun-jin Ryu has a 33% chance of a QS. If Ryan Yarbrough has a quality start the Rays has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 67%. In Hyun-jin Ryu quality starts the Blue Jays win 63%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Wender Franco who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Danny Jansen who averaged 3.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 50% chance of winning.