Detroit Tigers vs

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays are 45-26 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 31-40 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays' starter Louis Head is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Tyler Alexander. Louis Head has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Alexander has a 35% chance of a QS. If Louis Head has a quality start the Rays has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 68%. In Tyler Alexander quality starts the Tigers win 59%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Brandon Lowe who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Brandon Dixon who averaged 1.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 47% chance of winning.