Milwaukee Brewers vs

St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Adam Wainwright has a 33% chance of a QS and Corbin Burnes a 31% chance. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 56%. If Corbin Burnes has a quality start the Brewers has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.3 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Ryan Braun who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 59% chance of winning.