San Francisco Giants vsSt. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The St. Louis Cardinals are 8-8 at home this season and the San Francisco Giants are 9-5 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants' starter Jake Junis is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals' starter Dakota Hudson. Jake Junis has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dakota Hudson has a 47% chance of a QS. If Jake Junis has a quality start the Giants has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 58%. In Dakota Hudson quality starts the Cardinals win 65%. He has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Brandon Belt who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 65% chance of winning.