Milwaukee Brewers vsSt. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The St. Louis Cardinals are 12-10 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 15-11 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals' starter Matthew Liberatore is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers' starter Adrian Houser. Matthew Liberatore has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Adrian Houser has a 40% chance of a QS. If Matthew Liberatore has a quality start the Cardinals has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 56%. In Adrian Houser quality starts the Brewers win 71%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 61% chance of winning.