Tampa Bay Rays vs

Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-10 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 17-14 at home. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays' starter Rich Hill is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners' starter Justin Dunn. Rich Hill has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Justin Dunn has a 41% chance of a QS. If Rich Hill has a quality start the Rays has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 61%. In Justin Dunn quality starts the Mariners win 60%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Mitch Haniger who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Austin Meadows who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 71% chance of winning.