Houston Astros vsSeattle Mariners Prediction
The Houston Astros are 27-19 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 29-20 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros' starter Luis Garcia is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners' starter Darren McCaughan. Luis Garcia has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Darren McCaughan has a 43% chance of a QS. If Luis Garcia has a quality start the Astros has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 60%. In Darren McCaughan quality starts the Mariners win 64%. He has a 0% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Mitch Haniger who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 76% chance of winning.