Colorado Rockies vsSan Francisco Giants Prediction
The San Francisco Giants are 16-10 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 13-13 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants' starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies' starter Chi Chi Gonzalez. Kevin Gausman has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chi Chi Gonzalez has a 28% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Giants has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 71%. In Chi Chi Gonzalez quality starts the Rockies win 61%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Alex Dickerson who averaged 2.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Trevor Story who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 42% chance of winning.