Arizona Diamondbacks vsSan Francisco Giants Prediction
The San Francisco Giants are 32-27 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 21-32 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants' starter Alex Cobb is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks' starter Madison Bumgarner. Alex Cobb has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Madison Bumgarner has a 36% chance of a QS. If Alex Cobb has a quality start the Giants has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 64%. In Madison Bumgarner quality starts the Diamondbacks win 60%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Joc Pederson who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Josh Rojas who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 49% chance of winning.