Arizona Diamondbacks vsSan Francisco Giants Prediction
The San Francisco Giants are 18-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 9-27 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants' starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks' starter Zac Gallen. Kevin Gausman has a 41% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zac Gallen has a 30% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Giants has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 60%. In Zac Gallen quality starts the Diamondbacks win 59%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Buster Posey who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 56% chance of winning.