Los Angeles Dodgers vsSan Diego Padres Prediction
The San Diego Padres are 20-6 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 18-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres' starter Chris Paddack is forecasted to have a better game than Dodgers' starter Julio Urias. Chris Paddack has a 33% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Julio Urias has a 17% chance of a QS. If Chris Paddack has a quality start the Padres has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 51%. In Julio Urias quality starts the Dodgers win 69%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Mookie Betts who averaged 2.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 61% chance of winning.