Colorado Rockies vs

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 10-13 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 5-11 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates' starter Roansy Contreras is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies' starter Kyle Freeland. Roansy Contreras has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Freeland has a 31% chance of a QS. If Roansy Contreras has a quality start the Pirates has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 63%. In Kyle Freeland quality starts the Rockies win 68%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Greg Allen who averaged 5.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is C.J. Cron who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 54% chance of winning.