Cincinnati Reds vsPittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 32-40 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 37-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Dillon Peters has a 38% chance of a QS and Wade Miley a 34% chance. If Dillon Peters has a quality start the Pirates has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 55%. If Wade Miley has a quality start the Reds has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Max Schrock who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 66% chance of winning.