Chicago Cubs vs

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tyler Anderson has a 31% chance of a QS and Jake Arrieta a 29% chance. If Tyler Anderson has a quality start the Pirates has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 48%. If Jake Arrieta has a quality start the Cubs has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is KeBryan Hayes who averaged 3.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 66% chance of winning.