Washington Nationals vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 29-19 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 18-29 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Matt Moore is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Erick Fedde. Matt Moore has a 33% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Erick Fedde has a 27% chance of a QS. If Matt Moore has a quality start the Phillies has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 56%. In Erick Fedde quality starts the Nationals win 63%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.68 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 58% chance of winning.