Washington Nationals vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-17 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 18-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Spencer Howard has a 30% chance of a QS and Joe Ross a 26% chance. If Spencer Howard has a quality start the Phillies has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 51%. If Joe Ross has a quality start the Nationals has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 60% chance of winning.