San Francisco Giants vsPhiladelphia Phillies Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies are 7-3 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 5-5 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Zach Eflin is forecasted to have a better game than Giants' starter Anthony DeSclafani. Zach Eflin has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Anthony DeSclafani has a 36% chance of a QS. If Zach Eflin has a quality start the Phillies has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 63%. In Anthony DeSclafani quality starts the Giants win 58%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.69 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Donovan Solano who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 54% chance of winning.