Chicago Cubs vsPhiladelphia Phillies Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-32 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 27-44 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Zack Wheeler is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs' starter Kyle Hendricks. Zack Wheeler has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Hendricks has a 38% chance of a QS. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Phillies has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.2 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 67%. In Kyle Hendricks quality starts the Cubs win 51%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Frank Schwindel who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 48% chance of winning.