Chicago Cubs vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 39-31 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 26-43 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Kyle Gibson is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs' starter Adrian Sampson. Kyle Gibson has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Adrian Sampson has a 26% chance of a QS. If Kyle Gibson has a quality start the Phillies has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 77%. In Adrian Sampson quality starts the Cubs win 48%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Rafael Ortega who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 44% chance of winning.