Atlanta Braves vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 20-23 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Aaron Nola is forecasted to have a better game than Braves' starter Touki Toussaint. Aaron Nola has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Touki Toussaint has a 32% chance of a QS. If Aaron Nola has a quality start the Phillies has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 60%. In Touki Toussaint quality starts the Braves win 60%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 60% chance of winning.