Atlanta Braves vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-17 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 20-23 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Matt Moore has a 38% chance of a QS and Charlie Morton a 39% chance. If Matt Moore has a quality start the Phillies has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 51%. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Braves has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 67% chance of winning.