Minnesota Twins vs

Oakland Athletics Prediction

The Minnesota Twins are 8-7 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 5-14 at home. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Daulton Jefferies has a 43% chance of a QS and Sonny Gray a 47% chance. If Daulton Jefferies has a quality start the Athletics has a 60% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 47%. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Twins has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 66%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Luis Barrera who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 76% chance of winning.