Washington Nationals vsNew York Yankees Prediction
The New York Yankees are 10-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 4-7 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees' starter Domingo German is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Joe Ross. Domingo German has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Joe Ross has a 26% chance of a QS. If Domingo German has a quality start the Yankees has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 63%. In Joe Ross quality starts the Nationals win 70%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Giancarlo Stanton who averaged 2.64 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Trea Turner who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 54% chance of winning.