Atlanta Braves vs

New York Mets Prediction

The New York Mets are 32-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 26-21 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets' starter Taijuan Walker is forecasted to have a better game than Braves' starter Ian Anderson. Taijuan Walker has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ian Anderson has a 28% chance of a QS. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Mets has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 68%. In Ian Anderson quality starts the Braves win 65%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Brandon Nimmo who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Austin Riley who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 54% chance of winning.