Atlanta BravesBraves
88-73
SP K.Muller
2-36.46 ERA
Mon 7/26, 9:10 PM
ATL +130, O/U 6.5
New York MetsMets
77-85
SP M.Stroman
9-133 ERA
Mon 7/26, 9:10 PM
ATL +130, O/U 6.5
Braves
88-73
SP K.Muller
2-36.46 ERA
Mets
77-85
SP M.Stroman
9-133 ERA
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Team
Braves
Mets
Moneyline
Total
Spread
Best Bets
Atlanta Braves +130
4 Star Rating - Moneyline
We have Atlanta Braves at +116, which is a 14 point difference from the current line. Consider taking the underdog.
2 Star Trend - Moneyline
Brian Snitker is 78 - 56 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) while coaching Atlanta
Braves
Mets
3Proj Full Score3
46.18%Proj Win %53.82%
1.5First Half Score2
42.24%First Half Win %57.76%
Home Field Advantage
--Team Grade--
--Pitcher Matchup Grade--
--Offense Grade--
--Defense Grade--
Sharp Bettor Report
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
% of Money 24%
% of Tickets 43%
New York Mets
New York Mets
% of Money 76%
% of Tickets 57%
NYM Pro Money Advantage by 19%
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Atlanta Braves vsNew York Mets Prediction

The New York Mets are 28-13 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 20-23 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets' starter Marcus Stroman is forecasted to have a better game than Braves' starter Kyle Muller. Marcus Stroman has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Muller has a 29% chance of a QS. If Marcus Stroman has a quality start the Mets has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 73%. In Kyle Muller quality starts the Braves win 53%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is J.D. Davis who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 48% chance of winning.

Schedule Summary
ATL
Teams
NYM
172
No. Of Games
162
88-73
Record
77-85
86-86-0
ATS Record
70-91-0
50.0%
Cover%
43.5%
79-85-8
O/U Record
69-83-9
48.2%
Over%
45.4%
Line Movement
Moneyline
Run Line
Total
First 5 Inn
First 5 Inn O/U

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Braves Pitching
Player Image
Player Image
Kyle Muller
Record2 - 3
ERA6.46
Avg. IP4.3
Mets Pitching
Player Image
Player Image
Marcus Stroman
Record9 - 13
ERA3.00
Avg. IP5.4
 
Braves Lineup
RF
Player Image
Joc Pederson
2B
Player Image
Ozzie Albies
1B
Player Image
Freddie Freeman
3B
Player Image
Austin Riley
SS
Player Image
Dansby Swanson
CF
Player Image
Guillermo Heredia
C
Player Image
Stephen Vogt
OUT
LF
Player Image
Abraham Almonte
LF
Player Image
Orlando Arcia
C
Player Image
Kevan Smith
P
Player Image
Sean Newcomb
P
Player Image
Bryse Wilson
60IL
P
Player Image
Kyle Muller
 
Mets Lineup
CF
Player Image
Brandon Nimmo
1B
Player Image
Pete Alonso
2B
Player Image
Jeff McNeil
LF
Player Image
Dominic Smith
3B
Player Image
J.D. Davis
10IL
RF
Player Image
Michael Conforto
CF
Player Image
Kevin Pillar
C
Player Image
Tomás Nido
10IL
SS
Player Image
Jonathan Villar
2B
Player Image
Luis Guillorme
DTD
C
Player Image
James McCann
P
Player Image
Aaron Loup
P
Player Image
Marcus Stroman
 
Braves Lineup
RF
Player Image
Joc Pederson
2B
Player Image
Ozzie Albies
1B
Player Image
Freddie Freeman
3B
Player Image
Austin Riley
SS
Player Image
Dansby Swanson
CF
Player Image
Guillermo Heredia
C
Player Image
Stephen Vogt
OUT
LF
Player Image
Abraham Almonte
LF
Player Image
Orlando Arcia
C
Player Image
Kevan Smith
P
Player Image
Sean Newcomb
P
Player Image
Bryse Wilson
60IL
P
Player Image
Kyle Muller
 
Braves Injuries
Player Image
Huascar YnoaATL | RP
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Spencer SchwellenbachATL | P
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Stephen VogtATL | C
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Jeremy WalkerATL | RP
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Charlie MortonATL | SP
sustains fractured fibula
Morton was hit by a comebacker during the second inning and initially remained in the contest, but he exited after 2.1 scoreless frames due to the pain. The 37-year-old will obviously be sidelined for the remainder of the World Series but is expected to be ready for spring training in 2022.
OUT
Player Image
Chris DevenskiATL | RP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Grant DaytonATL | RP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Josh TomlinATL | RP
No details provided
10IL
Player Image
Ronald Acuña Jr.ATL | LF
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Tucker DavidsonATL | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Mike SorokaATL | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Edgar SantanaATL | RP
No details provided
10IL
Player Image
Marcell OzunaATL | LF
No details provided
10IL
 
Mets Injuries
Player Image
Carlos CarrascoNYM | SP
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Luis GuillormeNYM | SS
No details provided
DTD
Player Image
Corey OswaltNYM | RP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Matthew AllanNYM | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Tomás NidoNYM | C
No details provided
10IL
Player Image
Jacob deGromNYM | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Drew SmithNYM | RP
No details provided
10IL
Player Image
Robinson CanóNYM | 2B
No details provided
SUS
Player Image
David PetersonNYM | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Daison AcostaNYM | RP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Robert StockNYM | RP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Jordany VenturaNYM | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Richard BritoNYM | P
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Joey LucchesiNYM | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Dellin BetancesNYM | RP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
J.D. DavisNYM | 3B
No details provided
10IL
Player Image
José MartínezNYM | RF
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Bruce MaxwellNYM | C
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Thomas SzapuckiNYM | SP
No details provided
60IL
 
Braves Injuries
Player Image
Huascar YnoaATL | RP
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Spencer SchwellenbachATL | P
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Stephen VogtATL | C
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Jeremy WalkerATL | RP
No details provided
OUT
Player Image
Charlie MortonATL | SP
sustains fractured fibula
Morton was hit by a comebacker during the second inning and initially remained in the contest, but he exited after 2.1 scoreless frames due to the pain. The 37-year-old will obviously be sidelined for the remainder of the World Series but is expected to be ready for spring training in 2022.
OUT
Player Image
Chris DevenskiATL | RP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Grant DaytonATL | RP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Josh TomlinATL | RP
No details provided
10IL
Player Image
Ronald Acuña Jr.ATL | LF
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Tucker DavidsonATL | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Mike SorokaATL | SP
No details provided
60IL
Player Image
Edgar SantanaATL | RP
No details provided
10IL
Player Image
Marcell OzunaATL | LF
No details provided
10IL