Atlanta Braves vs

New York Mets Prediction

The New York Mets are 28-13 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 20-23 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets' starter Marcus Stroman is forecasted to have a better game than Braves' starter Kyle Muller. Marcus Stroman has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Muller has a 29% chance of a QS. If Marcus Stroman has a quality start the Mets has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 73%. In Kyle Muller quality starts the Braves win 53%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is J.D. Davis who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 48% chance of winning.