Detroit Tigers vsMinnesota Twins Prediction
The Minnesota Twins are 22-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 19-29 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins' starter Michael Pineda is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Matt Manning. Michael Pineda has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Manning has a 31% chance of a QS. If Michael Pineda has a quality start the Twins has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 65%. In Matt Manning quality starts the Tigers win 63%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Nelson Cruz who averaged 2.7 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Brandon Dixon who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 51% chance of winning.