St. Louis Cardinals vsMilwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers are 11-13 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 9-9 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals' starter Adam Wainwright is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers' starter Brandon Woodruff. Adam Wainwright has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Woodruff has a 43% chance of a QS. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 54%. In Brandon Woodruff quality starts the Brewers win 70%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.64 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 64% chance of winning.