St. Louis Cardinals vs

Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers are 16-13 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 18-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jason Alexander has a 40% chance of a QS and Dakota Hudson a 44% chance. If Jason Alexander has a quality start the Brewers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.2 and he has a 5% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 65%. If Dakota Hudson has a quality start the Cardinals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Willy Adames who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 62% chance of winning.