Chicago Cubs vsMilwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers are 19-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 15-20 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers' starter Eric Lauer is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs' starter Justin Steele. Eric Lauer has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Justin Steele has a 31% chance of a QS. If Eric Lauer has a quality start the Brewers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 62%. In Justin Steele quality starts the Cubs win 65%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Michael Brosseau who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ian Happ who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 50% chance of winning.