Washington Nationals vs

Miami Marlins Prediction

The Miami Marlins are 8-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 7-10 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins' starter Pablo Lopez is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Josiah Gray. Pablo Lopez has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Josiah Gray has a 45% chance of a QS. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Marlins has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 66%. In Josiah Gray quality starts the Nationals win 56%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jazz Chisholm who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 51% chance of winning.