Milwaukee Brewers vsMiami Marlins Prediction
The Miami Marlins are 6-8 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 11-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers' starter Eric Lauer is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins' starter Trevor Rogers. Eric Lauer has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 59% chance of a QS. If Eric Lauer has a quality start the Brewers has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 53%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Marlins win 61%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jazz Chisholm who averaged 1.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Rowdy Tellez who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 69% chance of winning.