Baltimore Orioles vs

Miami Marlins Prediction

The Miami Marlins are 3-6 at home this season and the Baltimore Orioles are 6-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Trevor Rogers has a 36% chance of a QS and Bruce Zimmermann a 34% chance. If Trevor Rogers has a quality start the Marlins has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 52%. If Bruce Zimmermann has a quality start the Orioles has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Starling Marte who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Bruce Zimmermann who averaged 3.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 84% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 55% chance of winning.