Atlanta Braves vsMiami Marlins Prediction
The Atlanta Braves are 29-24 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 23-28 at home. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Pablo Lopez has a 51% chance of a QS and Jake Odorizzi a 49% chance. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Marlins has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 45%. If Jake Odorizzi has a quality start the Braves has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Garrett Cooper who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Austin Riley who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 72% chance of winning.