Arizona Diamondbacks vsMiami Marlins Prediction
The Miami Marlins are 4-7 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 9-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins' starter Sandy Alcantara is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks' starter Riley Smith. Sandy Alcantara has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Riley Smith has a 29% chance of a QS. If Sandy Alcantara has a quality start the Marlins has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 58%. In Riley Smith quality starts the Diamondbacks win 71%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Corey Dickerson who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 61% chance of winning.