Arizona Diamondbacks vsLos Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 49-18 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 29-39 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers' starter Julio Urias is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks' starter Zac Gallen. Julio Urias has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zac Gallen has a 43% chance of a QS. If Julio Urias has a quality start the Dodgers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 70%. In Zac Gallen quality starts the Diamondbacks win 55%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Josh Rojas who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 45% chance of winning.