Arizona Diamondbacks vs

Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 12-5 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 8-7 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers' starter Walker Buehler is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks' starter Zach Davies. Walker Buehler has a 69% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zach Davies has a 37% chance of a QS. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Dodgers has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 78%. In Zach Davies quality starts the Diamondbacks win 43%. He has a 4% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 43% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Daulton Varsho who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 39% chance of winning.