Los Angeles Angels vsHouston Astros Prediction
The Houston Astros are 7-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 7-9 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros' starter Luis Garcia is forecasted to have a better game than Angels' starter Alex Cobb. Luis Garcia has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Alex Cobb has a 22% chance of a QS. If Luis Garcia has a quality start the Astros has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 62%. In Alex Cobb quality starts the Angels win 72%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 48% chance of winning.