Texas Rangers vsDetroit Tigers Prediction
The Detroit Tigers are 26-22 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 13-35 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers' starter Tyler Alexander is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers' starter Michael Foltynewicz. Tyler Alexander has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Foltynewicz has a 38% chance of a QS. If Tyler Alexander has a quality start the Tigers has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 67%. In Michael Foltynewicz quality starts the Rangers win 57%. He has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Jorge Bonifacio who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Joey Gallo who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 46% chance of winning.