Pittsburgh Pirates vs

Detroit Tigers Prediction

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 3-6 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 3-3 at home. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates' starter Mitch Keller is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Tarik Skubal. Mitch Keller has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tarik Skubal has a 31% chance of a QS. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 56%. In Tarik Skubal quality starts the Tigers win 67%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Robbie Grossman who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is KeBryan Hayes who averaged 3.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 68% chance of winning.