Milwaukee Brewers vsDetroit Tigers Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers are 48-24 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 37-36 at home. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers' starter Freddy Peralta is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Wily Peralta. Freddy Peralta has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Wily Peralta has a 38% chance of a QS. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 56%. In Wily Peralta quality starts the Tigers win 70%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Brandon Dixon who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 71% chance of winning.