Kansas City Royals vs

Detroit Tigers Prediction

The Detroit Tigers are 30-45 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 24-48 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Joey Wentz has a 42% chance of a QS and Zack Greinke a 37% chance. If Joey Wentz has a quality start the Tigers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 61%. If Zack Greinke has a quality start the Royals has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is MJ Melendez who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 52% chance of winning.