Cleveland Guardians vs

Detroit Tigers Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians are 10-15 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 9-13 at home. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians' starter Shane Bieber is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Alex Faedo. Shane Bieber has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Alex Faedo has a 43% chance of a QS. If Shane Bieber has a quality start the Guardians has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 59%. In Alex Faedo quality starts the Tigers win 59%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Willi Castro who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 70% chance of winning.