Cincinnati Reds vsDetroit Tigers Prediction
The Cincinnati Reds are 0-1 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 3-2 at home. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds' starter Trevor Bauer is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Michael Fulmer. Trevor Bauer has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Fulmer has a 43% chance of a QS. If Trevor Bauer has a quality start the Reds has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 57%. In Michael Fulmer quality starts the Tigers win 68%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Cameron Maybin who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Eugenio Suarez who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 70% chance of winning.