Baltimore Orioles vsDetroit Tigers Prediction
The Detroit Tigers are 6-13 at home this season and the Baltimore Orioles are 5-12 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Michael Pineda has a 57% chance of a QS and Bruce Zimmermann a 60% chance. If Michael Pineda has a quality start the Tigers has a 60% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 49%. If Bruce Zimmermann has a quality start the Orioles has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Austin Meadows who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Austin Hays who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 69% chance of winning.